Principles of Future-Proofing

Research on future-proofing the built environment

  • The Principles of Future-Proofing
    • Principle 1: Prevent decay
    • Principle 2: Stimulate flexibility and adaptability
    • Principle 3: Extend service life
    • Principle 4: Fortify!
    • Principle 5: Increase redundancy
    • Principle 6: Reduce obsolescence
    • Principle 7: Plan Ahead
    • Principle 8: Diversify
    • Principle 9: Be local and healthy
    • Principle 10: Consider life cycle benefits
    • Principle 11: Take advantage of cultural heritage policy documents
    • Principle 12: Promote understanding
  • What is Future-Proofing?
    • Future-Proofing: A literature review
    • Future-Proofing: In electronics
    • Future-Proofing: In utilities systems
    • Future-Proofing: In industrial design
    • Future-Proofing: In sustainable design
    • Future-Proofing: And obsolescence
    • Future-Proofing: In building design
    • Future-Proofing: And resiliency
    • Future-Proofing: And climate change
    • Future-Proofing: In historic preservation philosophy
    • Future-Proofing: In heritage conservation philosophy
  • Case Studies & Research
    • Future-Proofing: Seeking Resilience in The Built Environment
    • Future-Proofing & Panarchy
    • Case Study: The Walrus Heads at the Arctic Building
    • The 10 Principles of Future-Proofing and the Arctic Building – AIA Seattle Presentation
    • Future-Proofing and the Arctic Building – Short Presentation
    • Future-Proofing, Charters, and Standards – Integrating the Principles into Practice
    • Future-Proofing Principle #8 – Life Cycle Analysis
    • Future-Proofing Principle #9 – Local Traditional Materials
    • Future-Proofing – An Initial Literature Review
  • About
    • The Author of the Principles
    • Contact
    • Bibliography of Sources
  • Blog

Future-Proofing & Panarchy

Posted by FutureProofAdmin on July 6, 2019
Posted in: Uncategorized. Tagged: Adaptive Cycles, Brian Rich, future-proofing, Panarchy, Principles of Future-proofing.

Mr. Rich presented the attached paper and presentation at the Marion Dean Ross Chapter of the Society of Architectural Historians in June 2019.

Future-Proofing & Panarchy – PaperDownload
Future-Proofing & Panarchy – PresentationDownload

Change is inevitable in all forms of the environment. Our built environments are going through a process of change, that, if recognized as a cyclical process, can be managed in a manner that reduces or eliminates the severe impacts and suddenness of the change.

Panarchy, the process by which ecological and social systems grow, adapt, transform, and, ultimately, collapse over extended periods of time, is an adaptive cycle framework that can be used to understand and manage change. The 4 phases of the adaptive cycle include: entrepreneurial exploitation (r), organizational consolidation (K), creative destruction or “release” (Ω), and re- or de-structuring (α). The “release” phase can be broken down into abrupt, destructive change, incremental change, and transformational, learning change.

Applying the Principles of Future-Proofing to historic built environments guide the development of thoughtful interventions that minimize the destructive potential of the “release” phase of the adaptive cycle. The Principles of Future-Proofing are a broader understanding of resilient buildings and a useful tool for evaluating the resilience of historic buildings. The goal is to develop interventions that respect the historic character of our buildings while adapting them to a new and different and preventing abrupt, destructive change and slow erosion of integrity through incremental changes.

This paper will discuss the application of Panarchy and adaptive cycles to the historic built environment and the development of the Principles of Future-Proofing as tools to understand and manage change in the historic built environment. This paper presents several examples of future-proofing and recent projects completed by the author and demonstrate ways in which they are future-proof and demonstrate a controlled release phase which permits a building to continue to be in service.

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